Southern Africa Telecommunications Report

Published 15 June 2015

  • 109 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Southern Africa Telecommunications Report

BMI View : BMI's Q 3 15 Southern Africa report analyses the latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets in Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Mauritius and Namibia. It also contains our estimate of the market data relating to the end of 2014 a nd an update of our five-year forecasts to 201 9 for the mobile, fixed-line and internet sectors. From the five states , Botswana and Mauritius clearly stand out as more dynamic and higher performing markets in terms of both mobile penetration as well as 3G/4G developments.

Key Data

  • The five countries in our coverage recorded an average growth of 7.3% in 2014. Mozambique recorded the fastest growth at 21%, while Mauritania grew by just 1.9%.

  • The average estimated mobile penetration rate of the five countries in our coverage was 101.8% at the end of 2014. Botswana had the highest penetration rate at 162.5%, while Mozambique had the lowest at 57.1%.

  • Mauritius, Angola, Botswana and Mozambique all reported ARPU figures that were equal or higher to the regional average.

  • Mauritius and Namibia lead the way in terms of 3G penetration, but the other three countries in our report are below the region's average.

Key Developments

Botswana's telecoms operator Mascom has rolled out its 4G LTE network in the country. Mascom was the first operator in Botswana to test the network in 2012. The operator's 3G mobile broadband services now cover 70% of the country's population. Mascom aims to provide the 3G coverage to another 38 villages, with all villages or cities having more than 5,000 people already being covered by its 3G network, according to CEO Jose Veira Couceiro. Mozambique's impressive economic growth outlook, combined with a predominantly rural population, generates good tower-sharing opportunities. However, while fast-growing operator Movitel's parent Viettel remains closed to tower sharing, the country is unlikely to become the next area of expansion for any...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Angola
10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Angola 2012-2019)
10
Botswana
13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Botswana 2012-2019)
13
Mauritius
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mauritius 2012-2019)
16
Mozambique
19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2019)
19
Namibia
22
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2019)
22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
25
Industry Risk/Reward Index
25
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q215
28
Market Overview
30
Angola
30
Regional Perspective
30
Table: Angola - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014
30
Key Developments
30
Market Growth
31
Market Share
32
Networks
33
Fixed Line And Internet
34
Botswana
36
Regional Perspective
36
Table: Botswana - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014
36
Key Developments
36
Market Growth
37
Market Share
38
Usage
39
Networks And VAS
40
Fixed Line And Internet
41
Mauritius
43
Regional Perspective
43
Table: Mauritius - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014
43
Key Developments
43
Market Growth
43
Networks
45
Fixed Line And Internet
45
Mozambique
48
Regional Perspective
48
Table: Mozambique - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014
48
Key Developments
48
Market Growth
48
ARPU
51
Networks
51
Fixed Line And Internet
52
Namibia
53
Regional Perspective
53
Table: Namibia - Mobile Regional Comparison, 2013
53
Key Developments
53
Market Growth
53
Market Shares
54
Networks
55
Fixed Line And Internet
55
Mobile Content
56
Table: Selected Value-Added Services Developments, October 2014-January 2015
59
Regulatory Development
61
Regulatory Overview
61
Regulatory Environment And Industry Developments
61
Table: Southern Africa Telecoms Regulators
61
Competitive Landscape
65
Table: Key Players: Southern African Telecoms
65
Company Profile
66
Airtel Africa
66
Table: Selected Key Developments
69
mcel Mozambique
72
MTC Namibia
75
MTN
78
Table: MTN Indicators, 2013-2014
81
Orange
83
Table: Orange's Proportional Subscriptions
86
Unitel Angola
89
Regional Overview
92
Table: Selected Contracts In Africa, 2014
94
Demographic Forecast
95
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Angola 1990-2025)
96
Table: Key Population Ratios (Angola 1990-2025)
96
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Angola 1990-2025)
97
Table: Population By Age Group (Angola 1990-2025)
97
Table: Population By Age Group % (Angola 1990-2025)
98
Glossary
100
Table: Glossary Of Terms
100
Methodology
102
Industry Forecast Methodology
102
Sources
104
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
104
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
105
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
106

The Southern Africa Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Mauritius's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Southern Africa Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Mauritius.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Mauritius to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Angolan, Botswanan, Mozambican, Namibian, Zambian, Mauritian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Mauritius's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Angola, Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Mauritius.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc