Sri Lanka Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Sri Lanka Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Sri Lanka with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Sri Lanka with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Growth Downgrade Amid Headwinds
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Fiscal Consolidation Showing Signs Of Progress
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
Outlook On External Position
13
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
14
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
14
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
14
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
Monetary Policy
15
Further Tightening To Control Excessive Credit Growth
15
Monetary Policy Framework
16
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
16
Currency Forecast
17
LKR: Stabilising On A Depreciatory Path
17
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECASTS
17
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
19
The Sri Lankan Economy To 2025
19
A Constructive Long-Term Outlook
19
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
19
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
21
SWOT Analysis
21
BMI Political Risk Index
21
Domestic Politics
22
Resistance To Political Reforms Poses Risks To Short-Term Stability
22
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
22
TABLE: STALLING REFORMS LIKELY TO WEIGH ON SHORT-TERM POLITICAL RISKS
23
Long-Term Political Outlook
24
Major Challenges In Coming Decade
24
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
27
Operational Risk
27
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
27
Business Crime
28
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN SRI LANKA
30
Government Intervention
34
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
34
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
35
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
39
Global Macro Outlook
39
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
39
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
39
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
40
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
41
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
43