Sudan and South Sudan Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Sudan and South Sudan Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Sudan, South Sudan with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Sudan, South Sudan with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Sudan Economic Growth Outlook
8
High Inflation And Hostile Business Environment Will Inhibit Growth
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: SUDAN - GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: SUDAN - PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: SUDAN - GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: SUDAN - FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: SUDAN - NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Sluggish Oil Revenues Will Forestall Substantial Narrowing Of Deficit
11
South Sudan Economic Growth Outlook
13
Economic Activity Will Be Inhibited By Conflict
13
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
14
TABLE: SOUTH SUDAN - GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
14
TABLE: SOUTH SUDAN - PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
15
TABLE: SOUTH SUDAN - GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
15
TABLE: SOUTH SUDAN - FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
15
TABLE: SOUTH SUDAN - NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
15
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
17
The Sudanese Economy To 2025
17
Subdued Long-Term Growth Outlook
17
TABLE: SUDAN - LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
17
The South Sudanese Economy To 2025
18
A Potential Unrealised
18
TABLE: SOUTH SUDAN - LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
18
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
21
SWOT Analysis
21
BMI Political Risk Index
21
Sudan Domestic Politics
22
National Dialogue Will Yield Little
22
South Sudan Domestic Politics
23
Machar's Rebellion Risks Return To Civil War
23
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
25
Operational Risk
25
Business Crime
26
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN SUDAN
27
Government Intervention
29
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
30
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
31
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
33
Global Macro Outlook
33
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
33
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
33
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
34
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
35
SUDAN - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
37
SOUTH SUDAN - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
37