Sudan & South Sudan Power Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the power.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Sudan & South Sudan Power Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The Sudanese power sector will remain vulnerable to both droughts and funding cuts. A focus on investing in hydropower generation, coupled with the risk of a cut in Saudi funding - after recent budget cuts - means that power generation growth in Sudan will remain subdued. A lack of investment into transmission infrastructure will dampen any potential increases in electrification rates.

Headline Power Forecasts (Sudan 2015-2021)
2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, UN, BMI
Generation, Total, TWh 10.005 10.547 11.127 11.137 11.148 11.171 11.198
Consumption, Net Consumption, TWh 8.0 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.7 10.1 10.6
Capacity, Net, MW 4,763.8 5,098.8 5,489.1 5,490.0 5,524.0 5,570.2 5,619.9

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

  • The Saudi government's decision to make drastic cuts to its budget - due to the lower oil-price environment - will provide a risk to our outlook for Sudanese hydropower projects that are reliant on Saudi funding.

  • Egypt has resigned from the East African Power Pool due to its concerns surrounding further hydropower plant construction on the Nile by both Sudan and Ethiopia. This is unlikely to affect the progress of hydropower projects in Sudan, as all the other countries in the EAPP have signed the treaty with Egypt for equitable use of the Nile.

  • Construction of the 1,000-megawatt Red Sea thermal power plant is currently likely to be postponed due to the Saudi government cutting their budget. This is due to the Red Sea thermal power plant being reliant on Saudi funding.

  • Our forecasts for Sudanese transmission and distribution losses remain virtually unchanged since last quarter. We forecast that Sudan will continue to lose over a fifth of their total electricity generation through transmission losses throughout our 10-year forecast period.

BMI Industry View
7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Sudan 2015-2021)
7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Sudan Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sudan 2014-2019)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sudan 2020-2025)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Sudan And South Sudan Power Forecast Scenario
11
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019)
15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025)
16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019)
17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025)
17
Electricity Consumption
18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019)
18
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025)
18
Transmission & Distribution
19
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019)
20
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025)
20
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2014-2019)
20
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2020-2025)
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Sub-Saharan Africa Power Risk/Reward Index
21
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
27
Sudan And South Sudan Power Risk/Reward Index
28
Rewards
28
Risks
28
Market Overview
30
Key Policies And Market Structure
30
Competitive Landscape
33
Regional Overview
37
Middle East And Africa - Regional Overview
37
Glossary
45
Table: Glossary Of Terms
45
Methodology
46
Methodology And Sources
46
Industry Forecast Methodology
46
Sources
49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
49
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
51

The Sudan & South Sudan Power Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Sudan & South Sudan Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Sudan, South Sudan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Sudan, South Sudan's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Sudan, South Sudan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario

Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:

  • Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
  • Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
  • Trade: Total imports and exports.
  • Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
  • Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.

BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment, sustainable energy policies, pricing and the latest regulatory developments.

Key Projects Database

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location, sector type, capacity, value, companies and operational status.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich, in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results, strategic goals, market position and the potential for investment.

Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, consumption and capacity for thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific  overview, alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Regional Overview

Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole, as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.

Sources

The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports, including Energy Information Administration (EIA), World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).