BMI View: We expect the slowdown in Taiwan's main export markets to continue to present headwinds to growth during 2015, as the country's over-reliance on tech-related exports leaves Taiwan vulnerable to both changes in the global electronic business cycle and demand changes in developed markets. With credit growth decelerating and private consumption remaining relatively subdued, we are forecasting a below consensus 3.1% real GDP growth for 2014 and have downgraded our real GDP forecast for 2015 to 3.5% from 4.1%. Therefore, as last year, we remain fairly pessimistic about the performance of Taiwan's food and drink market in the short to medium term, albeit that select individual (premium) sectors may still outperform the overall market.
Headline Industry Data
2014 per capita food consumption (local currency): +1.8%; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2013 to 2018: +3.1%.
2014 alcoholic drinks sales (volume): +2.0%; forecast CAGR 2013 to 2018: +0.9%.
2014 soft drinks sales (value): +4.3%; forecast CAGR 2013 to 2018: +5.0%.
2014 mass grocery retail sales (local currency): +5.1%; forecast CAGR 2013 to 2018: +4.6%.
Key Company Trends
I-Mei Foods Hit By Ongoing Food Contamination Scandals : In October 2014, The China Post reported that contaminated oil had been used in produce manufactured for I-Mei Foods by Chen Chi Company. The product, Rousong (also known as meat floss), had been manufactured with contaminated oil produced by Cheng-I Food Company. At the time of the discovery, Cheng Chi had already shipped 1,190 kilograms of the product and public health authorities were notified of the product's recall.
Carrefour Announces Further Investment in Taiwan : Following reports in the summer of 2013 that French retail giant Carrefour was exploring the sale of its business in Taiwan, the president of Carrefour Taiwan, Patrick Ganaye, announced in September 2014 that there were no such plans. Despite departing from other overseas markets...
The Taiwan Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.
BMI's Taiwan Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Taiwan.
- Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Taiwan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Taiwanese food and drink market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Taiwan through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
- Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:
- Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
- Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
- Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.
Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.
Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.