BMI View: We continue to favour the Tanzanian coffee industry over the medium term , owing to the potential for growth on the back of strong investment in capacity. The grain industry in Tanzania will remain less competitive than in other countries in the region, particularly South Africa and Zambia, and we see little potential for the country to become a major grain exporter. The country's sugar sector will see limited production growth over the next few years, due to low sugar prices and Tanzania's lower productivity than many of its regional neighbours.
| Agribusiness Market Value |
|BMI Market Value By Commodity (2011-2019)|
| e/f= BMI estimate/forecast. Source: FAO, BMI |
Sugar production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 2.5% to 323,000 tonnes. Production growth will be limited by lower prices, lower productivity compared to regional neighbours and ongoing imports from nearby countries.
Corn consumption growth to 2018/19: 3.8% to 5.5mn tonnes. A combination of low prices relative to previous years and rising living standards is expected to drive corn consumption growth.
Coffee production growth to 2018/19: 81.3 % to 1. 5 mn 60kg bags. The sector is benefiting from investment in disease-resistant trees and from incentives for small producers.
2015 real GDP growth: 6. 5 % year-on-year (y-o-y), stable compared to 2014.
2015 consumer price inflation: 6.0 % average, down from 6.5% average in 2014.
BMI universe agribusiness market value: 1.9% y-o-y increase to USD3.1bn in 2015, forecast to average growth of 4.5% per year between 2015 and 2019.
We expect sugar production growth in Tanzania to be lacklustre over the coming years. Output in 2015/16 will stagnate on the 2014/15 level, at 315,000 tonnes. The low international price of sugar will limit production in the country in the short-term and will drag on investment into the sector, which will affect output out to 2018/19.
The East African coffee sector will post...
The Tanzania Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's Tanzania Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
- Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
- Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption, production and trade of key commodities.
- Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
- Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
- Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
- BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.
The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.
Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market
Reports Include: Grains, Dairy, Livestock, Rice, Sugar, Palm Oil, Edible Oils, Coffee, Cocoa, Cotton, Soybean
Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.
The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.