Tanzania Telecommunications Report

Published 19 May 2015

  • 73 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Tanzania Telecommunications Report

BMI View: The Tanzanian mobile rebounded in 2014, as its 2013 performance was impacted by SIM registration and the removal of inactive accounts. Penetration remains low so there is still room for growth, especially in rural areas which account for the majority of the population. Viettel's market entry, and its focus on rural areas, will drive further competition as the current operators will need to match the new entrant, and they will look to differentiate themselves with new services. MFS (mobile financial services) will be one, as Tanzania becomes the first fully interoperable country. Mobile data will continue to grow through the development of 3G and 4G networks, and this will impact the fixed market, especially on the voice side. The fixed broadband market will see some growth but will continue to remain a minor player compared to mobile access.

Key Data

  • The mobile sector grew 16.1% in 2014, compared to growth of 0.8% in 2013 following the discounting of inactive subscriptions and a 1.1% growth in Q313.

  • Despite increased usage, both in terms of voice and data, ARPU continues to decline through strong competition, which will be exacerbated by Viettel's market entry

  • MFS users have continued to rise Tanzania has become the first country to offer interoperability across all MFS platforms

  • The fixed-line market continues to contract, declining by 8.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) because of a lack of investment and fixed-to-mobile substitution

Risk/Reward Index

Tanzania ranked 16th with a score of 39.9, above the regional average of 39, on the BMI telecoms Risk/Reward Index (RRI) for Sub-Saharan Africa in Q315, out of 40 countries. It moved up two places in this quarter's update, thanks to an improvement in its country risks score, with all other metrics remaining unchanged. This improvement is due to Tanzania being a net oil importer, and it benefits from the lower price of the commodity, with potential savings boosting private consumption across many...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Mobile
9
Wireline
11
Political
13
Economic
14
Business Environment
16
Industry Forecast
17
Mobile
17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (Tanzania 2011-2018)
17
Wireline
20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (Tanzania 2011-2018)
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
24
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms RRRs, Q314
27
Market Overview
29
Mobile
29
Regional Perspective
29
Table: Regional Comparison, 2013
30
Mobile Growth
31
Table: Tanzania Mobile Market
32
Market Shares
33
Networks
38
Mobile Content/Value-Added Services
42
Table: Market Overview
46
Table: Vodacom
46
Table: Airtel
47
Table: Zantel
47
Table: Tigo
47
Table: TTCL
48
Table: Benson & Sesatel*
48
Africa Mobile Content
49
Table: Selected Non-Voice Service Deployments In 2013
53
Wireline
54
Industry Trends And Developments
59
Regulatory Development
61
Table: Tanzania Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
61
Table: Digital Migration Phase One Timetable
64
Company Profile
66
TTCL
66
Vodacom Tanzania
71
Regional Overview
76
Aviat Networks Seek Regional Growth Opportunities
76
Demographic Forecast
80
Table: Tanzania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
81
Table: Tanzania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
82
Table: Tanzania's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
83
Table: Tanzania's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
83
Glossary
84
Table: Glossary Of Terms
84
Methodology
86
Industry Forecast Methodology
86
Sources
87
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
88
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
89
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
90

The Tanzania Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Tanzania's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Tanzania Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Tanzania.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Tanzania to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Tanzanian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Tanzania's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Tanzania.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc