Thailand Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Thailand Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Thailand with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Thailand with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Testing Times For Current Economic Model
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Funding, Land Acquisition Remain Stumbling Blocks
11
TABLE: TOP 10 PRE-TENDER TRANSPORT PROJECTS BY VALUE
12
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Manufacturing Exports Facing Headwinds
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
16
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
16
Monetary Policy
16
Rates To Remain On Hold But Risks Weighted To The Downside
16
Monetary Policy Framework
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
18
Currency Forecast
19
THB: Gradual Strength Despite Royal Succession Risks
19
TABLE: CURRENCY FORECAST
19
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Thai Economy To 2025
21
Political Uncertainty The Main Growth Obstacle
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Crown Prince Likely To Succeed But Risks Remain
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Uncertainty Ahead Despite Tight Military Grip
27
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
Operational Risk
31
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK SCORES
31
Business Crime
32
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK
33
Government Intervention
35
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
36
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
36
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
39
Global Macro Outlook
39
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
39
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
39
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
40
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
41
TABLE: THAILAND - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
43