Thailand's Political Crisis: Assessing The Economic Costs

Published 30 April 2014

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Thailand's Political Crisis: Assessing The Economic Costs
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 ‘The recent reduction in violent demonstrations is unlikely to last, given the lack of meaningful compromise in the ongoing political turmoil. Much will depend on the outcome of Yingluck Shinawatra's upcoming corruption hearing, where her conviction could trigger a fresh round of Red Shirt demonstrations. While solutions to the ongoing impasse exist, it seems highly likely that things will have to get worse before a compromise can be reached.’

Business Monitor International (BMI) has just published a Special Report Thailand's Political Crisis: Assessing The Economic Costs, examining the impact of Thailand's political crisis on the country's economic outlook and the prospects for key industry sectors. The Report details our core view on Thailand's medium-term political outlook, provides an overview of how political dynamics will impact the macroeconomic trajectory, and discusses key developments in the automotive, construction, and agribusiness industries among others.

Key topics covered include:

  • An analysis on the most likely political scenarios over the coming years.
  • Our views and forecasts of Thailand's economic growth.
  • Our assessment of the impact the political deadlock will have on construction industry growth.
  • A look at how immune Thailand's autos industry will be to political dynamics.
  • The outlook for the agriculture/agribusiness industry in light of the failed rice prices guarantee system.
  • Opportunities and threats in the country's telecoms industry.
  • How the political crisis will impact the structure of Thailand's oil and gas sector.

The Report draws upon BMI's wide range of expertise and 30 years of experience to provide specific insights into the threats and opportunities posed by the uncertain political climate, helping you assess the role it could play in your company’s growth strategy for 2014 and beyond.