Turkey Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
×

Sign up to download the Turkey Country Risk Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

Turkey Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Turkey with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Turkey with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Political Climate Undermining Growth
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
12
Sovereign Risk Rising Despite Stable Debt Ratio
12
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE & EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
14
External Trade And Investment Outlook
16
External Financing Risks Rising Post-Coup
16
Outlook On External Position
17
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS & IMPORTS
18
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
18
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
18
Monetary Policy
20
More Hawkish Stance Not Enough To Restore Credibility
20
Monetary Policy Framework
21
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
21
Currency Forecast
23
TRY: Hike Will Not Be Enough To Arrest Lira's Slide
23
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
23
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
25
The Turkish Economy To 2025
25
Shine Coming Off Growth Story
25
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
25
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
29
SWOT Analysis
29
BMI Political Risk Index
29
Domestic Politics
30
HDP Arrests Clearing Way For Executive Presidency
30
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
30
Long-Term Political Outlook
31
Rising Authoritarianism To Increase Risks To Stability
31
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
35
Operational Risk
35
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
35
Business Crime
36
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN TURKEY
38
Government Intervention
39
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
40
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
41
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
45
Global Macro Outlook
45
Trumponomics Takes Centre Stage
45
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
45
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
46
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
47
TABLE: TURKEY - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
49