Uganda Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Uganda Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Uganda with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Uganda with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Improved Investment Will Drive Growth in 2017
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Infrastructure Spending Will Drive Fiscal Deficit Wider
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
12
External Trade And Investment Outlook
13
Packed Project Pipeline Will Bolster Imports Following Delays
13
Outlook On External Position
14
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
15
Monetary Policy
16
Sluggish Growth Will Prompt Further Monetary Easing
16
Monetary Policy Framework
17
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
17
Currency Forecast
18
UGX: Shilling's Slow Slide Will Continue
18
TABLE: CURRENCY FORECAST
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Ugandan Economy To 2025
21
A Decade Of Promise But Also Of Risk
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
23
SWOT Analysis
23
BMI Political Risk Index
23
Domestic Politics
24
Growth Will Be Dented By South Sudan Spillover
24
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
24
Long-Term Political Outlook
26
Political Challenges For Museveni Ahead
26
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
29
Operational Risk
29
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
29
Business Crime
30
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN UGANDA
31
Government Intervention
33
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
33
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
34
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
37
Global Macro Outlook
37
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
37
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
37
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
38
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
39
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
41