United Arab Emirates Food & Drink Report

Published 07 August 2015

  • 105 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
United Arab Emirates Food & Drink Report

BMI View: We maintain our bullish outlook on the UAE's economy, even with weaker oil prices. Consumer and business sentiment remain positive, underlining our particularly upbeat views on household consumption and fixed investment over the coming quarters. Following estimated real GDP growth of 3.9% in 2014, we forecast the economy to expand by 4.0% in 2015. The non-o il sector will drive GDP growth and we therefore forecast real private consumption to accelerate from 6.5% in 2014 to 7.2% in 2015.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 food consumption growth (local currency terms): +5.7%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +7.7%.

  • 2015 per capita food consumption growth (local currency terms): +4.6%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +5.9%.

  • 2015 total soft drinks sales (local currency terms): +7.5%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +7.7%.

  • 2015 mass grocery retail sales (local currency terms): +10.3%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +10.3%.

Key Industry Trends And D evelopments

Shawarmanji Plots International Expansion : In June 2015, it was reported that Lebanese shawarma fast food joint Shawarmanji was planning to expand its footprint with new outlets in the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait and South Africa. At the time, the company had 12 outlets in Lebanon and six in the UAE, with new outlets already in the works at the Mall of the Emirates and Sahara Mall in the UAE. Shawarmanji claims to be the first multinational shawarma chain and the only shawarma concept in the world to have outlets at airports.

Investigation Launched Into Contaminated Dairy : In May 2015, municipalities in the UAE intensified a probe over bacterial contamination in dairy products being sold across food outlets in the country. The investigations in Sharjah and Ajman followed the Ministry of Economy's decision to recall Perail, a type of cheese being sold at Carrefour hypermarkets. The municipalities have urged people who have purchased the recalled product to...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
12
Industry Forecast
13
Consumer Outlook
13
Food
17
Food Consumption
17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
18
Drink
19
Soft Drinks
19
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (United Arab Emirates 2014-2019)
20
Hot Drinks
21
Mass Grocery Retail
22
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2014-2019)
23
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format
23
Trade
24
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2014-2019)
24
Macroeconomic Forecast
25
Macroeconomic Forecasts
25
Private Spending Growth To Remain High
26
Modest Growth For Oil Sector
28
Table: Economic Activity (United Arab Emirates 2010-2019)
29
Table: GDP By Expenditure (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
29
Industry Risk Reward Index
31
Middle East And North Africa - Risk/Reward Index
31
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q415
33
UAE - Risk/Reward Index
36
Market Overview
37
Food
37
Food Production
37
Agriculture
38
Halal Food
39
Drink
40
Soft Drinks
40
Hot Drinks
41
Mass Grocery Retail
42
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (United Arab Emirates 2006-2015)
43
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (United Arab Emirates 2006-2015)
43
Industry Trends And Developments
44
Food
44
Key Industry Trends And Developments
44
Drink
48
Key Industry Trends And Developments
48
Mass Grocery Retail
50
Key Industry Trends And Developments
50
Competitive Landscape
54
Table: Key Players In UAE's Food & Drink Sector
54
Table: Key Players In UAE's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
55
Company Profile
56
Unilever North Africa Middle East
56
Foodco
58
Al Ain Dairy
60
Masafi
63
Al-Ain Mineral Water Company
65
Aujan
67
EMKE Group
70
Carrefour MAF
72
Spinneys Dubai
74
Global Industry Overview
76
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry
79
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios
87
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup
92
Demographic Forecast
94
Demographic Outlook
94
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
95
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
95
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
96
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
96
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
97
Glossary
99
Food & Drink
99
Mass Grocery Retail
99
Methodology
101
Industry Forecast Methodology
101
Sector-Specific Methodology
102
Sources
102
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
103
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
104
Table: Weighting
105

The United Arab Emirates Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's United Arab Emirates Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in United Arab Emirates.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for United Arab Emirates to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Emirati food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in United Arab Emirates through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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