United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report

Published 01 July 2015

  • 94 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Telecoms operators du and Etisalat are expected to implement fixed network sharing by the end of 2015 , which will eliminate their respective monopolies in Dubai's new developments and most of the rest of the country. With new subscriptions growth in the mobile market beginning to taper off in 2014, it is increasingly clear that growth opportunities lie in the mobile and wireline data markets, where there remain strong opportunities across the consumer and enterprise segments. BMI believes competition at a national level will be a crucial component in capturing these growth opportunities.

Key data

  • The mobile market grew 4.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014 and by 2.9% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) to 16.383mn subscribers according to operator data.

  • Operator data suggest that the wireline sector grew slightly q-o-q from 1.609mn to 1.611mn lines in operations in Q1 2015, following a contraction of the market form 1.639mn in Q4 2013 over 2014.

  • The fixed broadband sector grew by 2.1% q-o-q in Q4 2014 and 9.0% y-o-y in 2014.

  • Market average mobile ARPU fell by about 2% in Q1 2015, while having increased very slightly y-o-y.

Risk/Reward Ratings

The UAE moved up one place to second position in this quarter's update to BMI's Risk/Reward Index (RRI) table with an aggregate score of 60.2. This score was nevertheless down slightly by 61.6 last quarter, suggesting that the UAE is faring better than other regional peers in the face of the biggest new macroeconomic challenge - lower oil prices. Despite the mixed operational performance recorded in 2014, the market continues to present strong subscriptions and revenue growth opportunities across multiple services. A stable political environment and strong private consumption growth help boost the UAE's Country Risk index, although the country continues to score poorly in the Industry Risk category owing to strong state influence on the telecoms sector.

Key Developments

In March 2015, du announced...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Operational Risk
13
Industry Forecast
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Middle East and North Africa Risk Reward Index
21
Table: MENA Q215 Risk/Reward Index
24
Market Overview
25
Mobile
25
Table: Regional Comparison
26
Key Developments
26
Mobile Growth
27
ARPU
30
Mobile Operator Data
36
Table: Market Overview
36
Table: Etisalat
36
Table: Du
37
Middle East And North Africa Mobile Content
38
Wireline
40
Table: Etisalat Wireline Operations ('000)
47
Table: Du Wireline Operations ('000)
48
Industry Trends And Developments
52
Table: Key Developments
53
Regulatory Development
56
Regulatory Overview
56
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
58
Table: Key Developments
61
Competitive Landscape
62
Table: Key Players - UAE Telecoms Market
62
Table: UAE Financial Indicators (USDmn)
62
Company Profile
63
Emirates Telecommunications Corporation (Etisalat)
63
Emirates Integrated Telecommunication Company (du)
72
Regional Overview
78
Table: Selected Deals And Announcements, 2014-2015
81
Demographic Forecast
83
Demographic Outlook
83
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
84
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
84
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
85
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
85
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
86
Glossary
88
Table: Glossary Of Terms
88
Methodology
90
Industry Forecast Methodology
90
Sources
92
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
92
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
93
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
94

The United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of United Arab Emirates's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in United Arab Emirates.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for United Arab Emirates to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Emirati telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in United Arab Emirates's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in United Arab Emirates.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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