United Kingdom Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
×

Sign up to download the United Kingdom Autos Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

United Kingdom Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: T he UK's decision to exit the EU will lead to a fall in passenger car demand in 2016 and 2017 through its negative impact on consumer and business confidence by raising economic uncertainty and through vehicle price inflation created by the resulting depreciation in the pound.

Passenger Car and Light Commercial Vehicle Sales
(2014-2020)
f = BMI forecast. Source: Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders/BMI

Key Views

  • Prior to the UK's decision to exit the EU, the passenger car market had already become overheated with sales reaching record highs and an overreliance on purchases made on credit. The exit will now bring these problems to a head in 2016 and 2017.

  • Vehicle production forecast remains unchanged after Brexit as producers continue to gain from export growth to recovering EU region over the next two years and as large capacity increases at Nissan and Honda Motor provide a lot of the support to growth.

  • Despite our decision to maintain our current production forecast, from 2018 onwards risks to the production outlook are heavily weighted to the downside as trade rules governing the costs of exporting to the EU are renegotiated and imposed.

  • Uncertainty surrounding the UK leaving the EU could force automakers to freeze, revise down, or abandon future investments.

BMI Industry View
7
Key Views
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
11
Latest Developments
11
Structural Trends - Core Scenario
11
Structural Trends - Upside Scenario
19
Structural Trends - Downside Scenario
23
Passenger Cars
27
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
27
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers
27
Key Players
28
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units
28
Commercial Vehicles
29
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
29
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers
29
Key Players
30
Table: Light Commercial Vehicles Sales By Brand, Units
30
Table: Medium Duty Truck Sales*, Units
31
Table: Heavy Duty Truck* Sales By Brand, Units
32
Table: Bus Sales* By Brand, Units
32
Motorcycles
33
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
33
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers
33
Key Players
33
Table: Sales By Brand, February
33
Industry Risk/Reward Index
35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
35
Western Stability A Winner For Value-Added Production
35
Hungary A Potential Mover
36
Turkey On The Radar
36
Regional Overview
37
Western Europe
37
Table: Western Europe - Autos Production Investments
37
Spanish Competitiveness Comes With Risks
38
New Models Address Regional Demand
38
IIA Restart Will Be Slow
38
Demographic Forecast
40
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
41
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
41
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
42
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
42
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
43
Methodology
45
Industry Forecasts
45
Sector-Specific Methodology
46
Sources
46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
47
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
48

The United Kingdom Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's United Kingdom Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in United Kingdom.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on United Kingdom to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the British automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the British automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in United Kingdom.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.