United Kingdom Renewables Report

Published 24 November 2015

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Renewables industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BM's Renewables Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Business Environment Rankings and Competitive Landscape.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts to test other views
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.

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United Kingdom Renewables Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: We expect growth in the British non-hydropower renewables segment to slow down over our 10-year forecast period, as widespread subsidy cuts and heightened policy uncertainty will lower the attractiveness of the market. The austere energy policy that is being rolled out by the new Conservative majority government will therefore lead to a tougher environment for renewable energy in the UK over the next five years, and as DECC states that the spending under the LCF is already over budget for the next five years, we see little room for deviation from austerity policy.

Renewables Headline Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
2014e 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f
f = BMI forecast. Source: EIA, National Sources, BMI
Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, TWh 56.311 61.798 66.418 70.334 73.814 76.201 78.542
Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, % y-o-y 19.057 9.743 7.476 5.897 4.947 3.234 3.073
Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, MW 22,490.1 26,367.7 28,360.3 30,102.9 31,398.9 32,480.6 33,477.1
Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, % y-o-y 26.1 17.2 7.6 6.1 4.3 3.4 3.1

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

  • DECC forecast that expenditures for renewables subsidy schemes will go over the GBP7.6bn 2020/2021 spending limit allocated under the Levy Control Framework by GBP1.5bn. We therefore see little room for the Conservative party to deviate from its austere renewables policy.

  • Proposed cuts for the feed-in-tariff scheme for renewables projects with capacity lower than 5MW is currently under consultation with the government. Should the reforms be implemented, a spending cap of GBP75-100mn for the next four years and quarterly degressions will lower the attractiveness of distributed energy solutions.

  • On July 22 2015, the Department of Energy and Climate Change announced that it would cut premium subsidies...

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BMI Industry View
7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020)
7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
10
United Kingdom Renewables Forecast Scenario
10
Latest Updates
10
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018)
27
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024)
27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2018)
29
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2019-2024)
30
United Kingdom Renewables Projects Database
31
Table: United Kingdom - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW)
31
Industry Risk Reward Index
32
United Kingdom Renewables Risk/Reward Index
32
Rewards
32
Risks
32
Market Overview
34
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
34
Targets
34
Subsidies
35
Infrastructure
36
Competitive Landscape
41
EDF Energy
41
E
41
The National Grid Company
42
RWE npower
42
Scottish Power
43
SSE
43
Dong Energy
44
Glossary
45
Table: Glossary Of Terms
45
Methodology
46
Methodology And Sources
46
Industry Forecast Methodology
46
Sources
48
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
48
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
50
Table: Weighting Indicators
51

The United Kingdom Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in United Kingdom. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in United Kingdom, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in United Kingdom, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's United Kingdom Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the United Kingdom renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for United Kingdom to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the United Kingdom renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in United Kingdom, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.