United States Defence & Security Report

Published 14 November 2014

  • 92 pages
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$1,295.00
United States Defence & Security Report

BMI View: The United Stated defence military complex is the biggest in the world. United States military expenditure is the highest in the world , driv en the by government commitment to various peace keeping missions and large number of armed force deployments, in addition to a sizeable domestic terrorism threat . We believe that the United States defence budget will increase and be re- oriented to take account of the threat posed by Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and to address a diverse range of international commitments.

United States faces a complex security scenario: ISIL is posing a major security risk in the Middle East to the United States and its allies. United States also sees necessary to maintain military presence in Afghanistan until at least December 2015. These two facts also increase the potential of domestic terrorism. The need to contain Russia's initiatives in Europe determines its participation in permanent military exercises and educational exchanges with Ukraine. Finally, focus remains on the Asia Pacific region and the "pivoted" stance the US is implementing, trying to balance China's influence, through engaging in countless military exercises and defence cooperation initiatives with regional players. The mentioned security trends will drive US Defence expenditure in years to come.

Although initially was expected that US Congress would contract the defence budget in their time of austerity, the aforementioned security threats establish that 2015 will see a considerable increase in defence spending. We expect a 10.9% increase in relation with 2014. At the moment cost- saving measures have taken place but we expect that this will provide only minor inconveniences in terms of investments and procurements.

United States remains the biggest, most significant and profitable market in the world of defence, military and security goods and services and we expect it to hold this position in the short and middle term period. In 2015 we...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
United States Security SWOT
9
United States Defence & Security SWOT
11
Political
12
Economic
13
Industry Forecast
14
Defence Expenditure
14
Table: Defence Expenditure (United States 2012-2019)
14
Armed Forces
15
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (United States 2004-2011)
17
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (United States 2012-2019)
18
Defence Trade
18
Table: Defence Trade Balance (United States 2012-2019)
19
Table: Defence Imports (United States 2012-2019)
21
Table: Defence Exports (United States 2012-2019)
22
Macroeconomic Forecasts
23
Economic Analysis
23
Table: Economic Activity (United States 2009-2018)
29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
30
Developed States Security Risk Ratings
30
Table: Developed States Security Risk Index
30
Table: Developed States State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
31
United States Security Risk Ratings
32
Market Overview
33
United States Defence Market Overview
33
Armed Forces And Government Spending
34
Table: Foreign Deployments
45
Industry Trends & Developments
46
Arms Trade Overview
48
United States Security Overview
51
Domestic Threats
51
Regional Threats
51
International Threats
51
Company Profile
55
Boeing
55
L-3 Communications
57
Lockheed Martin
60
Northrop Grumman
64
Raytheon
67
Regional Overview
69
Latin America Security Overview
69
Challenges And Threats To Security
69
The Role Of Outside Powers
81
Global Industry Overview
83
Political Risk Analysis
83
Methodology
89
Industry Forecast Methodology
89
Sector-Specific Methodology
90
Sources
91
Security Risk Index Methodology
91
Table: Indicators And Weighting
92

The United States Defence & Security Report features BMI Research's independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.

BMI's United States Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the American defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on United States to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the American defence and security market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Asia defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Asia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

Global and Regional Political Outlooks

A strategic overview of the world’s major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict, or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the world’s ‘wild card’ low-probability high-impact risks.

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Defence Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and USDbn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure per capita (USD); defence budget (local currency and USDbn).
  • Armed Forces (to 2012): Manpower available for military service, manpower fit for militaryservice, army personnel, navy personnel,air force personnel, total armed forces, (‘000) (% population).
  • Arms Trade: Arms and ammunition exports and imports (USDmn); bombs, grenades and missiles exports and imports (USDmn); revolver and pistol exports and imports (USDmn); weapons excluding guns and swords exports and imports (USDmn).

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on BMI’s heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

BMI’s proprietary Security Risk Indices provide investors with a reliable and country-comparable guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious, or prolonged, terrorist campaign.

Armed Forces Spending/ Expenditure

The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces, these include spending on international deployments, WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.

Competitive Landscape

The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country, ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism, cyber terrorism, crime and drugs, to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries. The reports also provide a regional overview which details specific issues and flashpoints affecting the Americas, along with potential risks in the coming year.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Defence & Security Market reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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