United States Defence & Security Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the defence & security industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Security Risk Reward Index, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

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  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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United States Defence & Security Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The United States defence military complex is the biggest in the world. US military expenditure is the highest in the world , driv en the by government commitment to various peace keeping missions and large number of armed force deployments, in addition to a sizeable domestic terrorism threat . We believe that the US defence budget will increase and be re- oriented to take account of the threat posed by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria and to address a diverse range of international commitments.

Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (US - 2016-2020)
2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f
f = BMI forecast. Source: BMI, NATO
Defence expenditure, USDmn 776,070.4 811,197.8 849,284.1 888,458.3 929,560.6
Defence expenditure, USD, % y-o-y 19.4 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.6
Defence expenditure, % of GDP 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2
BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
United States 2015 SWOT
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
13
Defence Expenditure
13
Table: Defence Expenditure (United States 2012-2019)
13
Armed Forces
14
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (United States 2005-2012)
15
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (United States 2012-2019)
16
Defence Trade
17
Table: Defence Trade Balance (United States 2012-2019)
18
Table: Defence Imports (United States 2012-2019)
19
Table: Defence Exports (United States 2012-2019)
20
Macroeconomic Forecasts
22
Economic Analysis
22
Table: US - Key Economic Indicators
22
Table: US - Private Consumption Forecasts
24
Table: US - Private Investment Forecasts
24
Table: US - Government Consumption And Investment Forecasts
26
Table: US - Net Exports Forecasts
27
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
28
United States Security Risk Ratings
28
Table: Developed States Defence Risk Index
28
Rewards
28
Risks
29
Market Overview
30
United States Defence Market Overview
30
Domestic Defence Sector
32
Domestic Defence Market
34
Table: US Bilateral Defence Agreements
36
United States Security Overview
37
Domestic Threats
37
Regional Threats
38
International Threats
39
Weapons of Mass Destruction
41
Company Profile
43
Boeing
43
L-3 Communications
45
Lockheed Martin
47
Northrop Grumman
49
Raytheon
51
Regional Overview
52
Regional: Latin America Security Overview
52
Challenges And Threats To Security
52
The Role Of Outside Powers
64
Global Industry Overview
66
Political Risk Analysis
66
Methodology
71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
71
Sector-Specific Methodology
72
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
72
Weighting
73
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index
73

The United States Defence & Security Report features BMI Research's independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.

BMI's United States Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the American defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on United States to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the American defence and security market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Asia defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Asia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

Global and Regional Political Outlooks

A strategic overview of the world’s major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict, or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the world’s ‘wild card’ low-probability high-impact risks.

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Defence Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and USDbn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure per capita (USD); defence budget (local currency and USDbn).
  • Armed Forces (to 2012): Manpower available for military service, manpower fit for militaryservice, army personnel, navy personnel,air force personnel, total armed forces, (‘000) (% population).
  • Arms Trade: Arms and ammunition exports and imports (USDmn); bombs, grenades and missiles exports and imports (USDmn); revolver and pistol exports and imports (USDmn); weapons excluding guns and swords exports and imports (USDmn).

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on BMI’s heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

BMI’s proprietary Security Risk Indices provide investors with a reliable and country-comparable guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious, or prolonged, terrorist campaign.

Armed Forces Spending/ Expenditure

The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces, these include spending on international deployments, WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.

Competitive Landscape

The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country, ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism, cyber terrorism, crime and drugs, to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries. The reports also provide a regional overview which details specific issues and flashpoints affecting the Americas, along with potential risks in the coming year.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Defence & Security Market reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.