United States Shipping Report

Published 31 March 2015

  • 101 pages
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United States Shipping Report

BMI View: BMI maintains its cautiously optimistic view on the US shipping sector. We believe 2015 will see the country's major facilities consolidate the growth seen in 2014. Our overall view that the US economy will continue to accelerate remains firmly in place , and we forecast GDP growth of 2.7% in 2015.

The US economy's pace of growth is set to slow over the next 10 years to a long-term rate of 2.5% as deleveraging from a massive credit binge and demographic shifts take their toll. Nonetheless, BMI believes that the US is going to remain the world's greatest economic power over our 10-year forecast period and beyond.

A stronger real GDP growth outlook and a congress committed to reining in spending will see the US budget deficit continue to narrow in fiscal year 2015, to 2.7% of GDP. Beginning in 2016, the deficit will widen as rising interest rates increase debt servicing costs and mandatory spending obligations keep upward pressure on expenditures. The US budget deficit will continue to narrow in 2015, driven by rising tax receipts as the economy improves and continued political pressure to maintain fiscal discipline. We forecast that the shortfall, which fell dramatically from a high of 9.8% of GDP in the fiscal year ending September 2009 (FY2009) to just 2.8% in FY2014, will continue to narrow in FY2015 to 2.7%. This trend will begin to reverse in 2016, as structural dynamics and the rising debt burden will see the fiscal deficit begin to widen again to 3.2% of GDP by 2020.

We believe risks are weighted to the upside across the US economy. The most likely of these risks, we believe, is that a greater-than-expected improvement in the labour market or consumer sentiment will lead to much stronger demand for goods and services. Such an outcome could also lead to stronger business investment in capacity and support further housing market growth.

Key Industry Data

  • At the port of Los Angeles we forecast 1.6% growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in total...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Port Of Los Angeles Throughput
Port Of New York/New Jersey Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (United States 2012-2018)
Table: Trade Overview (United States 2011-2018)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (United States 2011-2018)
Table: Main Import Partners, USD
Table: Main Export Partners, USD
Market Overview
United States Container Shipping Market Oveview
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Horizon Lines
Shipping - Global Industry View
Container Demand:
Container Supply:
Container Rates:
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: GDP By Expenditure (United States 2011-2018)
Demographic Forecast
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: The United States' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: The United States' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020

The United States Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in United States.

BMI's United States Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in United States.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for United States to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the American shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in United States through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc