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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI View: Globally, iron ore prices will remain subdued due to weak demand growth in China and expanding output by major miners in Australia and Brazil. China will see output slow as the country's ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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United Kingdom Consumer Electronics Report

United Kingdom Consumer Electronics Report

B MI View: The UK is a large and lucrative consumer electronics market with high per capita device spending supported by the affluence of the local population and a strong demand for the latest products. ...
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What Went Wrong For Opinion Pollsters In 2015?

What Went Wrong For Opinion Pollsters In 2015?

General elections are typically the biggest event in the political calendar of any country. Opinion polls are by and large the only tool analysts, investors, and commentators have in predicting election outcomes. As such, when ...
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United Kingdom Country Risk Report

United Kingdom Country Risk Report

Assess your risk exposure in United Kingdom with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report ...
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United Kingdom Agribusiness Report

United Kingdom Agribusiness Report

BMI View: Through to the end of our newly-extended forecast period to 2020, we believe the UK will see steady production growth in barley, poultry and cheese. There will be strong export opportunities for grains and ...
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United Kingdom Autos Report

United Kingdom Autos Report

BMI View: The UK's passenger car market has become overheated and will shift into a period of anaemic growth over the remainder of our forecast period to 20 20 . Passenger Car and Light Commercial Vehicle Sales (2014 ...
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United Kingdom Defence & Security Report

United Kingdom Defence & Security Report

BMI expects the UK to spend up to USD75.3bn in 2015, up slightly from the estimated USD73.9bn expenditure of 2014. On average, between 2011 and 2014, the UK spent USD66.9bn annually on defence. For the duration ...
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United Kingdom Food & Drink Report

United Kingdom Food & Drink Report

BMI View: We maintain our favourable consumer outlook for the UK, with household spending growth outperforming most Western European markets. This will boost sales of food and drink, although the sector will expand at a ...
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United Kingdom Information Technology Report

United Kingdom Information Technology Report

BMI View: We continue to maintain a relative ly robust growth outlook of UK IT spending over the medium term in our Q2 2016 report update. We estimate that spending growth will outperform most other developed ...
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United Kingdom Infrastructure Report

United Kingdom Infrastructure Report

BMI View : We maintain our forecasts for construction industry value real growth in the UK at 3.5% for 2016 , with our 2015 estimation coming in on the mark . R esidential building will drive this growth over the coming ...
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United Kingdom Insurance Report

United Kingdom Insurance Report

BMI View: Our outlook for the UK's insurance market is broadly positive at present. In the larger life insurance sector, improving household income rates and strong demographic trends will support a solid uptick in ...
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United Kingdom Oil & Gas Report

United Kingdom Oil & Gas Report

BMI View: While we see a provisional uptick in oil and gas production in the UK from 2015 onwards based on projects in the pipeline, the long-term trend remains one of stagnation given falling volumes from ...
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