Venezuela Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Venezuela Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Venezuela's autos sales and production will remain at all time low volumes over the 2016 to 20 20 forecast period , as extremely sca rce access to foreign currency prevents auto companies from importing both completely built-up vehicles and the necessary components needed for production.

Passenger Car and Light Commercial Vehicle Sales
(2014-2020)
f = BMI forecast. Source: Cavenez, BMI

Key Views

  • Over 2016-2020 sales volumes will mirror output volumes as currency restrictions dry up imports.

  • Production will remain at record lows as currency restrictions prevent the import of key components.

  • Carmakers' new and innovative strategies of raising hard currency, such as Ford's dollarised domestic sales and Toyota's component export strategy, will ultimately end in failure due to government intervention.

  • The risk of one or more major automakers exiting production altogether has reached a critical level at 50% probability.

  • There is a high risk of large-scale labour protests and disputes.

BMI Industry View
7
Key Views
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
9
Latest Developments
9
Table: Latest Developments
9
Structural Trends
9
Production
10
Threat Of Manufacturer Exit Is Now Critical
12
Dollarisation Of The Industry: A Way Out Of Deadlock-
13
Table: Production By Manufacturer, Units
14
Sales
15
Potential Demand is High But Sales Depend On Production
16
Passenger Vehicles
17
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
17
Latest Developments
17
Table: Latest Developments
17
Key Players
18
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units
18
Commercial Vehicles
18
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
18
Latest Developments
19
Table: Latest Developments
19
Key Players
20
Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand, Units
20
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units
20
Table: Bus And Coach Sales By Brand, Units
21
Motorcycles
21
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Venezuela 2014-2020)
21
Latest Developments
22
Table: Latest Developments
22
Key Players
22
Table: Motorbike Sales By Brand, Units
22
Industry Risk/Reward Index
23
Brazil Makes Transition With Risk Improvement
23
Strategic Production Gives Canada A Boost
24
Central America Still Lagging
24
Regional Overview
25
Industry Trend Analysis
25
Table: Latin America - Autos Production Investment
25
Demographic Forecast
29
Demographic Outlook 2015
29
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
30
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
30
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
31
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
31
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)
32
Methodology
34
Industry Forecasts
34
Sector-Specific Methodology
35
Sources
35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
36
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
37

The Venezuela Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's Venezuela Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Venezuela.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Venezuela to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Venezuelan automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Venezuelan automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Venezuela.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.