Venezuela Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Venezuela Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Venezuela with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Venezuela with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Economic Crisis Will Extend Into Fourth Year
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Expansionary Budget Suggests Continuing Inflation
11
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURES CATEGORIES
13
Sovereign Debt Outlook
15
Sovereign Default Is Likely In 2017
15
External Trade And Investment Outlook
17
C/A Deficit Narrowing Unlikely To Prevent Default
17
Outlook On External Position
19
TABLE: CAPITAL AND FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
19
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS
20
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS
20
Currency Forecast
21
Devaluation Will Be Unavoidable In 2017
21
TABLE: BMI EXCHANGE RATE FORECASTS
21
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
The Venezuelan Economy To 2025
23
Growth Outlook In A Time Of Transition
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Political Crisis Approaching Breaking Point
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
28
Structural Challenges Will Keep Tensions High
28
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
Operational Risk
31
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
31
Business Crime
32
TABLE: MAIN ACTIVE ORGANISED CRIMINAL GROUPS
34
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISKS
35
Government Intervention
37
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
38
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
39
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Trumponomics Takes Centre Stage
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: VENEZUELA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45