Venezuela Telecommunications Report

Published 04 February 2015

  • 95 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Venezuela Telecommunications Report

BMI View : Despite three companies being awarded LTE spectrum in December, we remain bearish towards its impact on mobile broadband growth. Uncertainty regarding the political situation along with the deteriorating economy has lowered confidence and caused Venezuelans to leave their higher-value subscriptions for more basic ones. This situation is unlikely to change in the near future. Furthermore, the growth of mobile broadband has not been very strong. The government's heavy influence over the telecoms market, with state-owned firms playing major roles, could have negative consequences over the short-to-medium term.

Key Data

  • Mobile subscriptions registered a slight decline in Q314, according to data from the telecoms regulator Conatel, with subscriptions reaching 31.530mn by the end of September 2014. This is a small dropfrom the 31.719mn subscriptions registered at the end of September 2013.

  • Conatel reported Venezuela had 14.95mn internet users and 3.7mn broadband subscriptions in 2013.

Key Trends & Developments

Two of the country's largest operators Movilnet and Movistar and pay-TV operator DirecTV were awarded 4G spectrum in December 2014. Hyperinflation, government interference and declining mobile broadband connections will weigh on investor appetite for 4G capex in line with our bearish outlook for the technology. Digitel, currently country's only 4G provider, has only reached 100,000 4G subscribers since launching in September 2013. Despite this, Movistar has announced that it expects to invest VEF9bn (USD1.43bn) in 2014 in Venezuela and it is planning to launch commercial 4G LTE services in the capital city of Caracas in Q115. BMI believes that Movilnet will also launch 4G network soon, while DirecTV has announced that it will initially concentrate only on fixed LTE-based broadband services.

At President Maduro's request, MinCI and Conatel will regulate pay-TV content with new entity the New Television Promotor Committee to evaluate. The...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Mobile
8
Wireline
10
Political
12
Economic
13
Business Environment
14
Industry Forecast
15
Mobile
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
15
Fixed-Line
18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts
18
Broadband
20
Table: Venezuela Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
22
Table: Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings, Q314
25
Market Overview
27
Mobile
27
Table: Venezuela Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2012
27
Mobile Growth
28
Table: Venezuela Wireless Market, Q413
29
Usage
30
Mobile Contract Wins
33
Table: Venezuela - Selected Recent Contracts Awarded
33
Mobile Content
34
Mobile Broadband
34
Value-Added Services
35
Mobile Operator Data
36
Table: Venezuela Mobile Market Overview
36
Table: Digitel
36
Table: Movilnet (CANTV)
37
Table: Movistar
37
Latin America Mobile Content
39
Smartphones
39
4G Technology
41
Mobile Content & Applications
41
Table: Consumer Use Of Mobile Content, 2013
43
Wireline
44
Key Developments
44
Fixed Line
44
Broadband
45
Table: Venezuela Internet Market 2009-2013 By Connection Type
46
Pay-TV
49
Table: Venezuela Pay-TV Market 2011-2013
49
Industry Trends And Developments
51
Table: Wireless Developments
52
Table: Wireline Developments
52
Regulatory Development
53
Regulatory Overview
53
Table: Venezuela Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
53
Regulatory Developments
55
Competitive Landscape
57
Table: Key Players - Venezuelan Telecoms Sector
57
Table: Selected Operator Financial Indicators
57
Company Profile
58
CANTV
58
Telef-nica M-viles Venezuela
62
Corporaci-n Digitel
66
Regional Overview
69
Internexa: Pan-American Fibre Network Keeps Content Local
69
Demographic Forecast
74
Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
75
Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
76
Table: Venezuela's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
77
Table: Venezuela's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
77
Glossary
78
Table: Glossary Of Terms
78
Methodology
80
Industry Forecast Methodology
80
Sources
81
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
82
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
84

The Venezuela Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Venezuela's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Venezuela Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Venezuela.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Venezuela to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Venezuelan telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Venezuela's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Venezuela.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc