Vietnam Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Vietnam Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Vietnam with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Vietnam with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Growth Momentum Likely To Be Sustained Over Coming Quarters
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Removal Of Guarantee For SOEs' Loans A Positive Move
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
12
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
12
Currency Forecast
13
VND: Neutral Short-Term, But Longer-Term Devaluation Risks
13
TABLE: CURRENCY FORECAST
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS (2015)
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS (2015)
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
16
Monetary Policy
16
SBV Likely To Hold Rates Despite Dovish Stance
16
TABLE: INTERBANK RATES BELOW SBV'S REFINANCING RATE
17
Monetary Policy Framework
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
19
The Vietnamese Economy To 2025
19
A New Focus On Quality Growth
19
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
19
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
23
SWOT Analysis
23
BMI Political Risk Index
23
Domestic Politics
24
Growing Middle Class, Internet Changing The Political Landscape
24
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
24
Long-Term Political Outlook
25
Key Political Challenges Over The Coming Decade
25
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
29
Operational Risk
29
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
29
Business Crime
30
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN VIETNAM
32
Government Intervention
35
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
36
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
36
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
39
Global Macro Outlook
39
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
39
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
39
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
40
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
41
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
43