Vietnam Shipping Report

Published 12 February 2015

  • 137 pages
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Vietnam Shipping Report

BMI View: Our forecasts from the previous quarter remain in place; and we expect the port of Ho Chi Minh City to lead the way in terms of tonnage throughput handled in 2015. The port of Da Nang, however, is expected to outperform the larger Ho Chi Minh City port in terms of box sphere growth (10% compared to 8% respectively).

In terms of the wider economy, we expect strong foreign direct investment (FDI), healthy export growth and ongoing efforts by the government to improve macroeconomic fundamentals to keep the Vietnamese economy growing strongly. This will all bode well for the Vietnamese shipping industry going forward. Real GDP growth is set to accelerate to 6.4% in 2015, from 6.0% in 2014.

The potential for political tensions to flare up once again could arise from Vietnam's formal submission of its political stance on the South China Sea dispute to the international arbitration court at the United Nations on December 12 2014. Through the submission, the Vietnamese government is seeking the help of the international arbitration court to safeguard its sovereign rights and interests in the disputed sea. The submission also challenges Beijing's 'nine-dash line' claim that places most parts of the South China Sea under Chinese jurisdiction, and supports the arbitration case that the Philippines has filed on January 22 2013 in relation to its own maritime dispute with China in the disputed waters.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 tonnage throughput at the port of Ho Chi Minh City is forecast to grow 7.6% to 45.06mn tonnes.

  • 2015 tonnage throughput at the port of Da Nang is forecast to increase 6.5% to 5.70mn tonnes.

  • 2015 container throughput at the port of Ho Chi Minh City is forecast to rise 8.0% to 4.99mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs).

  • 2015 container throughput at the port of Da Nang is forecast to increase 10.00% to 206,320TEUs.

  • 2015 total trade real growth is forecast to increase 6.65%.

Key Industry Trends

Vinalines Completes Value Assessment...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Port Of Ho Chi Minh City Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Vietnam 2011-2018)
Table: Trade Overview (Vietnam 2011-2018)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Vietnam 2011-2018)
Table: Top Import Desinations, 2004-2012
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012
Market Overview
Vietnam Container Shipping Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Vietnam Petroleum Transport Company (VIPCO)
Vietnam National Shipping Lines (Vinalines)
Shipping - Global Industry View
Container Demand:
Container Supply:
Container Rates:
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity
Demographic Forecast
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Vietnam's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Vietnam's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020

The Vietnam Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Vietnam.

BMI's Vietnam Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Vietnam.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Vietnam to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Vietnamese shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Vietnam through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc