Zambia Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Zambia Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: High inflation levels and elevated interest rates will continue to erode consumer purchasing power and restrict auto loan demand. These fact ors will lead to a 23.8 % contraction in vehicle sales in 2016 .

Challening Macroeconomic Conditions To Weigh On Vehicle Sales
Zambia - Vehicle Sales, Units
e/f = estimate/forecast. Source: National Sources, BMI

Key Views

  • Vehicle sales will contract by 23.8% in 2016.

  • High inflation levels will continue to erode consumer purchasing power and raise living costs.

  • Elevated interest rates will dampen credit growth and increase vehicle financing costs

  • High customs duties on vehicle imports will place downward pressure on vehicle sales growth.

  • A slowing construction industry and uncertainty in the mining sector will slow growth in commercial vehicle sales.

BMI Industry View
5
Key Views
5
SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
7
Industry Forecast Scenario
7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2020)
7
Latest Developments
7
Structural Trends
7
Industry Risk Reward Index
12
Industry Risk/Reward Index
12
Already Low Rewards Fall Further
12
Even The Leaders At Risk
13
The Few Positive Movers
13
Regional Overview
14
Sub-Saharan Africa
14
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment
14
Export Importance To South Africa Underlined
15
Nigeria Still Cause For Concern
15
Supplier Parks A Positive Move
15
Demographic Forecast
17
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025)
18
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025)
18
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025)
19
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025)
19
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025)
20
Methodology
22
Industry Forecasts
22
Sector-Specific Methodology
23
Sources
23
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
24
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
25

The Zambia Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's Zambia Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Zambia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Zambia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Zambian automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Zambian automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Zambia.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.