Fall Of Islamic State: Global And Regional Implications

2018 sees the Islamic State group on the verge of losing its last toeholds in Iraq and Syria, leaving many to wonder about the future manifestations of the radical Islamist threat. There are growing tensions in the Middle East, rising Islamist violence across Africa and vulnerabilities emerging in Asia, which we believe will be affected by the fall of IS territory.

This Special Report draws upon the expertise of BMI Research’s Country Risk teams to identify the emerging political and security risks that stem from the fall of Islamic State territory in Iraq and Syria. We believe that this report will lay out the future of the threat from radical Islamist groups, looking at often overlooked regions and risks.

Fall Of Islamic State: Global And Regional Implications
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BMI Research has published this special report on the near total loss of territorial control by Islamic State in Iraq and Syria and how this will affect the threat of militant Islamism worldwide. We examine several global trends that are likely to emerge, and then consider the impact region by region. Although the collapse of Islamic State territory is doubtless a setback for the organisation, the threat from Islamist insurgents and terrorists is unlikely to be substantially diminished worldwide.

Key topics include:

  • Examining the persistent threat of radical Islamist terrorism worldwide, highlighting areas most at risk.
  • A deep-dive into high-risk areas in Africa and Asia, where we expect local Islamist groups to be strengthened by fighters and resources leaving the Middle East
  • The political response in developed states to returning fighters.
  • How geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will be affected.